Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.434698 0.476302 0.520812 0.572088 0.629668 0.692489 0.766428
2026-01-25 0.369140 0.427529 0.494397 0.577132 0.677424 0.795922 0.947796
2026-02-01 0.322469 0.387203 0.464732 0.565379 0.693976 0.854687 1.073758
2026-02-08 0.294978 0.364643 0.451166 0.568029 0.724081 0.928676 1.222967
2026-02-15 0.270676 0.342700 0.434887 0.563609 0.742073 0.985940 1.353703
2026-02-22 0.253266 0.327556 0.425239 0.565804 0.767508 1.053941 1.505622
2026-03-01 0.235410 0.310043 0.410472 0.558805 0.778167 1.100487 1.629606
2026-03-08 0.219402 0.293659 0.395660 0.549894 0.784315 1.139727 1.745436
2026-03-15 0.202842 0.275252 0.376488 0.532693 0.775834 1.154761 1.822427
2026-03-22 0.196298 0.270535 0.376419 0.543615 0.811100 1.241534 2.030313
2026-03-29 0.189717 0.265235 0.374959 0.551996 0.842642 1.324834 2.242585
2026-04-05 0.182435 0.258378 0.370587 0.555242 0.865706 1.395619 2.440897
2026-04-12 0.175089 0.251113 0.365297 0.556875 0.886667 1.465774 2.650153
2026-04-19 0.169045 0.245478 0.362157 0.561748 0.913589 1.549501 2.899403
2026-04-26 0.159925 0.234538 0.349921 0.550376 0.910576 1.577064 3.035924
2026-05-03 0.154496 0.229077 0.346089 0.552940 0.932768 1.654636 3.291575
2026-05-10 0.148096 0.221711 0.338681 0.548663 0.941742 1.706957 3.498803
2026-05-17 0.143415 0.216854 0.335092 0.550787 0.962824 1.785638 3.779852
2026-05-24 0.137400 0.209510 0.326909 0.544014 0.965987 1.827329 3.978471
2026-05-31 0.131459 0.202009 0.318054 0.535390 0.964691 1.859246 4.157848
2026-06-07 0.124505 0.192515 0.305314 0.518739 0.945885 1.851068 4.232217
2026-06-14 0.122577 0.191387 0.307002 0.529312 0.983588 1.972502 4.674306
2026-06-21 0.120333 0.189602 0.307415 0.537424 1.016809 2.087632 5.122780